Ukraine Will Invade Russia

Ukraine will invade Russia eventually, and the weakened state will be dismembered one way or another, by its neighbors or by the international community, and its nuclear weapons confiscated (whatever is left if they don’t use them – most of them probably don’t work).

This following results from cold logic.  A computer could figure it out.  (An old fashioned expert system, not the namby-pamby neural nets they use now which are incapable of sequential reasoning).

Dictionary redefining ‘man’ and ‘woman’ is what happens when you reject reality for one group’s fantasy (msn.com)

“Pete Buttigieg is an adult female human being who identifies as male and is attracted to other female human beings who identify as male.”

I actually can’t even figure out what that means, and I’m an ace with the logic of English sentences.  Language is evolutionary, it is the way people talk, not what anyone defines. 

What does this have to do with Ukraine?  The article suggests that language is the result of people living in a fantasy with regard to their sexual identification.  The Ukraine issue results from the fantasy that Ukraine can just take back its territory and the war is over.  It won’t be over for the Ukrainians abducted by Russia, nor will the rain of Russian missiles end.

What Percentage of Americans Are LGBT? (gallup.com)

For “Generation Z” the number is 20%, one out of five.

The survey is misleading, and provides an excellent example of how pollsters control results by the way they ask questions.  “Bisexual” was popular when I was in college, and likely a large fraction of females and at least some mails fancied experimenting with group sex, which was at the time initiated with the codeword “I’m bisexual”.  It was the invitation to the orgy. 

I have to take my roommate’s word on this.  Whenever he took me with him, we got an answer something like “my boyfriend’s due to show up a little later, not tonight.”  Engineers are the anti-sex among human particle types. 

A major sub-headline in the above article is “Bisexuals make up 4% of all U.S. adults.”  Subtract from 7% LGBTQ and you get only 3% that are actually LGTQ, not enough to sway the definition of a word with long history like “man.”

Four things have changed since then.  (1) It is legal for gay couples to marry, and they are incentivized to do so in order to obtain health insurance if one of them is working a decent job.  (2) It is illegal to fire people for saying they are gay, so they are willing to answer surveys.  (3) Gallup polls is asking the question, loaded with the bisexual term. (4) Couples are having far fewer children, often in single parent families.  A boy will feel he must be like his mother to be successful.  A girl will feel like she must not be dependent on a man.  And some parents who prefer to have a child of a particular sex, will unwittingly apply pressure to an only child of the other sex.  Cheryl, who grew up down the street, swears she is gay because her father wanted a boy and sent her out for sports, especially basketball, where ALL her teammates were gay.  100%.  All.  

Cheryl is married to a hot younger female, living in Austin working for the secret service protecting George Bush.  She doesn’t and won’t have any children.  There is no danger of society being overrun with this trend.  It’s self-extinguishing.

THE UKRAINE WAR IS *NOT* SELF-EXTINGUISNING (though optimistic pundits on both sides hopefully forecast the other side will run out of ammunition).

Russia is destroying Ukraine’s economy, raising costs for U.S. and allies (msn.com)

Ha!  What did I tell you?

Kyrsten Sinema’s slam dunk. Arizona independent says what Democrats are afraid to say (msn.com)

Sinema wrote, “Americans are told that we have only two choices — Democrat or Republican — and that we must subscribe wholesale to policy views the parties hold, views that have pulled further and further toward extremism.” She added this is a “false choice.”

It is not a false choice.  Game theory dictates people will amalgamate to gain control, and this results in accommodating other people’s views, and results in the dichotomy Sinema complains about.  Her move to be independent, and her statement above, suggest she’s never heard of game theory and is remarkably naïve for a politician.  The Dems are better off without her.  She would sabotage their efforts just like Manchin did in a heartbeat.

OTHER PEOPLE’s VIEWS

Wait, what?  We will amalgamate for power and thus accommodate other people’s views?  Then the more power available, the more amalgamation.  The higher the population the more amalgamation.  Pretty soon, only other people’s views, and power, are important.  TRUTH HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH IT.  Thus the whole Trump phenomenon, and the redefinition of MAN are aspects of the same thing.

We live in a fantasy of other people’s wishes.  That is the most important thing governing our thoughts and our behavior.  THAT IS WHY ENGINEERS ARE THE ANTI-SEX.  Then do not easily grasp that truth is what others say it is, not the results of their experiments.  They are trying to get physical machines to work.  This is INTRINSICALLY ANTI-SOCIAL and makes them hard to control with ordinary social means.

Putin tried to control Ukraine this way.  They remembered the Holodomor and preferred European control.  Putin had to kill them.  They were a direct challenge to his ability to control anyone at all.

Nearly half of young adults in the US are living at home with their parents, and all that saved rent is fueling a luxury boom (msn.com)

Living at home is normal.  Normal is defined as what people have traditionally done.  For 2 million years they lived at home.  Even after their parents died, they carried the ancestral bones around with them when they migrated, perhaps decorating their tents or caves with a skull or two, or keeping the bones under the floor.  That’s normal.  Ask any archaeologist.  What we do now is an aberration.  It won’t last.  And I’m chronicling the end of it with my CHRONICLES OF THE END TIMES.

This many people haven’t lived at home since the Great Depression.  But that came on suddenly.  The current situation came on gradually as actual labor jobs were exported to other countries.  The idea of this that economists had was very simple.  Here it is . . .

  1. There is enough money in the US & Europe to make the whole world rich.
  2. If we just give it away, the recipients won’t build anything, won’t have jobs, it’ll be squandered.
  3. If we let them make stuff for us, that will give them stable job-based lives, permanently enriching them at the expense of the US and Europe

What do you do when the money runs out?

Economists don’t have a concept for that.  Our economist friend Rajnish Mehra has admitted to me he doesn’t understand what money is.  That still true, Rajnish?  I do understand.  See https://www.amazon.com/Equity-Premium-Puzzle-Intrinsic-Monetary-ebook/dp/B00Q67IN8M/ .  Chapter 3, “Finance Dawning”.  This is in the preview section on Amazon.  You can read it online without paying the whopping 99 cents I charge for the book.

Money is an IOU, a promise to produce future goods and services.  Inflation is just reneging on that debt.  We have to have inflation because the U.S. is no longer producing anything much, neither is Europe, and the money collected in exchange for our former productivity is running out

Since ancient times, really ancient like 5000 BC, when you run out of money you have two choices:

  1. Sell yourself into slavery.  This could be temporary.  Only the exploiters of the Western world much later attempted to make it permanent.  The modern term for it is “get a job” but it is the same thing.  Look at the way Musk treats his employees.
  2. Take up arms and lead a rebellion, or start your own empire and take over other people’s means of production.  This is what Russia is doing in Ukraine, taking over farmland, mining, and eventually the newly discovered energy deposits.

THE WARS WE NOW HAVE, UKRAINE AND THE ONGOING WARS IN THE MIDDLE EAST AND ELSEWHERE, ARE THE RESULT OF THE SHORT SIGHTED POLICY OF TRADING U.S. AND E.U. WEALTH FOR WORLD PEACE.

When did relations with China break down?  And Why?  They broke down when Trump imposed tariffs on Chinese goods, threatening the peace-bribe that the US had been providing for decades. 

So what was the reaction?  Take over the means of production of the most valuable commodity consumed by the US, chips.  They couldn’t figure how to make them (they tried), so the solution is to just take Taiwan, where they are made.

With young adults living at home, retail spending will not crash as expected.  With the US not producing anything, inflation will not come under control.  I am now leaning a little more pessimistic.

In past decades, the U.S. ramped up productivity over and over and that kept inflation low.  The U.S. was still producing “stuff” but not jobs.

Twitter and Facebook do not produce anything.  Apple only produces the 14th iteration on something we already have.  Probably you have a drawer full of old iPhones.  Will you buy an iPhone 27?  233?  40,687? 

I’ve ridden on a train like this.  2.8 million Ukrainians were told war is coming and they will be killed unless they boarded such a train.  The trains were only running one way, to Russia.

300,000 children were kidnapped and sent to Russia as orphans.

Russia is still able to make 40 missiles a month in spite of sanctions.

IF UKRAINE TAKES BACK EXACTLY THE TERRITORY THEY HAD BEFORE 2014, THEY HAVE *NO* NEGOTIATING POSITION TO SECURE THE RETURN OF THEIR CITIZENS OR STOP THE RUSSIAN MISSILES.

This objective can only be stopped in one of two ways:

  1. Give Russia all the land they eventually want.  Anything else is just a delay until they start up again.  They want, of course, all of Ukraine, and probably some other countries (the Baltics at a minimum).  So this is a non-starter.
  2. Take Russian land and keep taking it and offer to stop if they return the civilians and stop their missile attacks.  Any fixed amount of land without demonstrated ability and willingness to keep taking it will just be viewed as a pause to regroup by Russia.

This is the logical conclusion that even a computer could reach.

Here is a map I’ll use to illustrate what needs to be done.

Ukraine is blue and yellow, with orangish captured territory.  Russia is pink.  A buffer zone needs to be established, up to and including important roads.

Then offer to restore Russian administration if it stops rocket attacks and gives back abducted people.  Russian ability to launch low cost rockets, by the way, is reduced but not eliminated by this move.  They often launch from the Caspian Sea, so control of that has to be taken eventually.  After Russia’s refusal, the next step is this:

Ukraine must push to the Caspian Sea along the near-canal that already exists starting from Rostov-on-Don, gaining enough territory to the north to defend it, isolating and “eliminating” Russian resistance in that ridiculous southern extension of Russia.  This will end threats to Georgia and Armenia, and Azerbaijan will cease hostilities with Armenia.  Georgia already wants to join NATO (suggested by President Bush), and Armenia is increasingly looking to the West for support.  Both are Caucasian countries, and Republicans should have no objection to supporting Ukraine in this regard.

The canal to the Caspian Sea has long been proposed.  It would solve the problem of the evaporation of the Caspian Sea, and allow Ukraine and thus NATO to control it. 

Russia could be offered reconstruction assistance in addition to return of Ukrainian population and cessation of hostilities, in return for reforms to its government and business practices. 

If Russia resists these generous terms, the next step is to sever it at the Ural Mountains, administer the western portion for 100 years to instill democratic institutions, and let its Asian former surrogates carve up the eastern portion to suit themselves:

If Russia continues to make trouble, the western portion would be divided as follows:

The northern portion gets a lot of energy resources, but limited ocean access.  It’s capital remains Moscow.

The middle portion gets the farmland and some access to Black and Caspian Seas.  It’s capital could be Volgograd or Voronezh.  If there is argument, split it further.

The Southern Portion would be ruled from the palace at Sochi, and become primarily a resort.

Perhaps now you see that Russia is ridiculously large, an empire in need of breaking up.  YOU CAN FIT THE UNITED STATES INTO IT TWICE.  INCLUDING ALASKA AND HAWAII!!!

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